![Quote](images/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Joelegs
....................................................
You know I totally agree with you mate. Tony Blair and George Bush should have been brought to justice and tried for war crimes . Too many young men and women were brought back in flag draped coffins because of their lies. Indigenous people were also suffered and were killed in an operations ISAF could never win. Big armies are not made to fight long protracted acton's against terrorism.
Politicians start wars and ordinary people's sons and daughters fight them. I have no love for the US, but I have even less love for China or Russia.
Can I explain why, I don't hate ordinary Chinese, or Russian people they can't be blamed for their leaders actions, but often they pay and suffer in terms of sanctions against their country. Those at the top will always have but it is the little people at the bottom who feel the impact the most. It is also these little people who are handed a gun and made fight.
We have just come through a global pandemic. Models suggest that post an event like this certain things tend to happen. There is unrest among the population, we saw an increase in civil unrest post pandemic, even in China. People are going out on strike across the UK. There is usually economic instability, we can also see this playing out across the globe. At the moment our reliance on Russia oil is a big factor in the cost of living crisis. We also rely on cheapy made Chinese tech and products.
This is then usually followed by military action. Military action does two things, it can bolster unpopular governments, like in the case of the Thatcher administration and the Falklands. This took the nation's eye off what was happening at home and fixed it on the war. Secondly, states can use instability across the globe to strike before the likes of NATO can put up a creditable defence. The UK is no longer a tier one military power due to years of cuts, it doesn't even have enough ground to air missile batteries or RAF assets to defend itself against an offshore sub attack. The German Bundeswehr is in worse shape. It is using out of date equipment and it lacks manpower due to the scraping of National Service. I don't agree with National Service by the way, nor would I want my son to join the military.
The Ukrainian invasion by Russian was most likely a test to see what would happen, I believe this test backfired. These balloons could also be part of China's escalation towards conflict and they are trying to gather intelligence. The West are also getting into position for a global war, but are no where near ready to fight one. Last year, a tripartite agreement between Australia, the UK and the US was signed to use Australia as a forward operating base in the region; Australia is the nearest friendly asset to China. Taiwan could be China's test like Ukraine was for Russia. China, Russia and even Indian all have close relationship and need to be watched closely.There is also increased joint training in the West between US, UK and French troops. The US has adopted a new rifle, the Sig Spear. This weapons platform fires a more powerful round designed to punch through near-peer body armour and geared towards a war with China or Russia.
You are right about the US starting conflicts, they are very good at starting wars and very bad at finishing them. The last thing anyone who has anything to do with the military wants is war, because it's not like Hollywood; there are only losers. The sad reality is that if there is a global conflict NATO will be the one who is expected to step up to protect the West. The last time I looked we also live in a Western country and are part of the European Union. Irish neutrally with not protect her against the likes of Russia or China. We both agree that we don't like the US, but we will be one of her allies should war break out.
This is why I believe nations need to get tough with China and become less relevant on their tech and manufacturing exports. We need to buy more Irish/UK made products and even food. Investors should invest at home and in other countries other than China.
A Russian or Chinese missile won't care if we don't like the US if it is fired at us. But sadly there is nothing we can do about any of this and it will all take it's course.